Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029
2025-01-26 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000034
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000025 0.000042
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000049
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000030 0.000058
2025-02-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000033 0.000068
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000035 0.000077
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000019 0.000038 0.000087
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000020 0.000042 0.000103
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000021 0.000046 0.000121
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000021 0.000048 0.000134
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000021 0.000051 0.000153
2025-04-13 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000054 0.000173
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000059 0.000201
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000067 0.000251
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000073 0.000292
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000080 0.000347
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000027 0.000087 0.000405
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000028 0.000091 0.000456